Voy a poner algunos datos derivados de la primera encuesta electoral publicada en los 26 condados tras el "rescate" por la UE y el FMI, para ello me apoyo en un texto de Innisfree y un envio de las estimaciones detalladas, que me han enviado al correo:Texto de Innisfree:
El gubernamental Fianna Fáil (FF) se desploma a los niveles más bajos de popularidad de su historia, hasta el cuarto puesto, por detrás incluso del Sinn Féin.
Según la encuesta del tabloide The Irish Sun, sólo el 13% del electorado daría ahora su voto al FF en unos comicios generales, un 3% menos que el registrado hace dos semanas y un 29% menos que en las elecciones de 2007.
Tanto el conservador Fine Gael (FG) de Enda Kenny como el Partido Laborista de Eamon Gilmore retroceden 1 y 3 puntos en intención de voto, hasta el 32 y el 24%, respectivamente.
Solo el Sinn Féin de Gerry Adams sube 6 puntos desde la última encuesta y dobla sus resultados en los comicios de hace tres años, hasta alcanzar ahora un apoyo del 16%, lo que le sitúa como la tercera fuerza política en los 26 condados.Para ver la noticia desarrollada ir a INNISFREE.
Las estimaciones en base a la encuesta que me han enviado al correo:
| | FF | FG | LB | GP | SF | OTH |
| Carlow-Kilkenny | 17.4% | 40.5% | 25.9% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Cavan-Monaghan | 10.7% | 33.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 42.0% | 9.3% |
| Clare | 16.2% | 48.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 9.3% | 18.0% |
| Cork East | 10.2% | 31.1% | 42.7% | 1.6% | 13.6% | 0.7% |
| Cork North Central | 9.7% | 28.1% | 25.5% | 2.0% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| Cork North West | 22.0% | 59.6% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cork South Central | 15.5% | 37.3% | 24.6% | 6.0% | 13.2% | 3.5% |
| Cork South West | 14.1% | 44.7% | 24.2% | 4.6% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Donegal North East | 16.0% | 26.9% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 40.9% | 11.0% |
| Donegal South West | 15.7% | 26.7% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 48.5% | 1.6% |
| Dublin Central | 12.7% | 10.2% | 27.2% | 3.4% | 19.3% | 27.2% |
| Dublin Mid West | 10.6% | 14.4% | 26.5% | 7.1% | 21.9% | 19.6% |
| Dublin North | 14.7% | 18.3% | 25.4% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 22.9% |
| Dublin North Central | 14.3% | 31.0% | 17.9% | 3.4% | 9.0% | 24.4% |
| Dublin North East | 11.3% | 24.4% | 32.6% | 3.9% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Dublin North West | 13.0% | 10.0% | 41.1% | 1.5% | 31.0% | 3.4% |
| Dublin South | 15.4% | 38.0% | 29.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 0.6% |
| Dublin South Central | 8.2% | 13.3% | 39.5% | 2.9% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| Dublin South East | 9.3% | 22.5% | 40.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 7.3% |
| Dublin South West | 10.1% | 19.3% | 39.0% | 2.0% | 23.1% | 6.6% |
| Dublin West | 10.3% | 20.9% | 35.4% | 2.1% | 9.6% | 21.7% |
| Dun Laoghaire | 10.8% | 27.3% | 37.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 14.6% |
| Galway East | 14.4% | 53.4% | 8.6% | 1.4% | 8.6% | 13.5% |
| Galway West | 13.9% | 28.6% | 31.4% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 13.7% |
| Kerry North-West Limerick | 7.7% | 29.8% | 20.3% | 1.0% | 37.1% | 4.1% |
| Kerry South | 11.7% | 27.0% | 29.4% | 1.1% | 7.5% | 23.4% |
| Kildare North | 11.5% | 23.1% | 38.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 19.0% |
| Kildare South | 17.3% | 22.1% | 53.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 2.2% |
| Laois-Offaly | 25.0% | 45.3% | 8.0% | 1.0% | 16.7% | 4.0% |
| Limerick City | 18.1% | 35.6% | 29.1% | 2.0% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Limerick | 19.3% | 61.2% | 17.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Longford-Westmeath | 12.7% | 35.6% | 41.1% | 1.1% | 8.8% | 0.7% |
| Louth | 13.1% | 34.3% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 34.5% | 1.5% |
| Mayo | 7.0% | 57.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 10.7% | 21.7% |
| Meath East | 13.8% | 30.7% | 28.6% | 2.0% | 9.2% | 15.7% |
| Meath West | 17.9% | 37.8% | 10.6% | 1.8% | 28.9% | 2.9% |
| Roscommon-South Leitrim | 12.2% | 46.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 19.5% | 16.7% |
| Sligo-North Leitrim | 13.0% | 46.5% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 27.3% | 1.9% |
| Tipperary North | 9.1% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 0.6% | 7.3% | 46.7% |
| Tipperary South | 14.9% | 25.4% | 21.3% | 1.0% | 7.3% | 30.1% |
| Waterford | 14.5% | 32.0% | 26.8% | 1.4% | 15.5% | 9.9% |
| Wexford | 13.0% | 36.3% | 32.0% | 0.7% | 16.7% | 1.3% |
| Wicklow | 11.0% | 25.0% | 35.7% | 4.4% | 10.6% | 13.3% |
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